Indian economy showed signs of cooling in May

29 June, 2021 12:00 AM printer

NEW DELHI: India’s economy showed more signs of cooling in May, but the weakness is already beginning to dissipate of late as the nation exits lockdowns imposed to check the pandemic’s spread.

A slew of data from services activity to automobile sales pointed to lack of demand last month, which in turn kept the needle on an overall activity indicator unchanged at 6. The relatively strong score is because the gauge uses the three-month weighted average rates to smooth out volatility in the single-month readings, report agencies.

With the second Covid-19 wave now receding, the economy is already beginning to stir back to life. A basket of high-frequency, alternative and market indicators such as retail activity and road congestion pointed to a pick up in the week to June 13, Abhishek Gupta, India economist at Bloomberg Economics, said in a report.

Activity in India’s dominant services sector contracted for the first time in eight months in May. The IHS Markit India Services Purchasing Managers’ Index slid to 46.4 last month from 54 in April, falling below the 50 level that divides contraction from expansion. Services sector accounts for more than half of the nation’s gross domestic product.

A similar survey earlier showed activity in the manufacturing sector losing momentum all of which dragged the composite index to 48.1 in May from 55.4 the previous month.

Exports growth picked up at 69.4 per cent year-on-year in May, aided by a favorable base and robust global demand. The performance was strong even sequentially, helped by shipments of petroleum products, engineering goods and chemicals. On the other hand, momentum for imports tapered, contracting from a month earlier, primarily on account of a sequential drop in demand for oil and gold.

Retail auto sales—a bellwether of consumer demand—fell by more than half in May from the previous month as local lockdowns kept dealerships shut.


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