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Bangladesh’s Untapped Potential in Carbon Trading

Mohammad Navid Safiullah

Mohammad Navid Safiullah

Published: 06 May 2026, 12:00 AM

Bangladesh’s Untapped Potential in Carbon Trading
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Bangladesh contributes barely 0.47% of global greenhouse gas emissions, yet it remains among the nations most devastated by a climate crisis whose origins lie in the unrestricted industrial expansion of the colonial era. Today, recurrent cyclones, floods, riverbank erosion, and salinity intrusion continue to undermine decades of hard-won development. Still, within this vulnerability lies an underappreciated opportunity. Bangladesh's low-emission profile and its vast natural assets place it in a uniquely favourable position to participate and lead in the rapidly expanding global carbon market. The question is no longer whether Bangladesh should engage in carbon trading. It is whether the country can move decisively enough to claim its rightful share of global climate equity.

Carbon trading is a market-based instrument that converts verified emission reductions or carbon sequestration into tradeable credits. By assigning a tangible economic value to environmental stewardship, it creates powerful incentives for climate action and unlocks access to international climate finance. Countries and companies that exceed their emission limits may purchase credits from those that have reduced or absorbed carbon beyond their targets. For a country like Bangladesh, which generates far less carbon than it absorbs through its forests and wetlands, this represents a significant and largely untapped revenue stream.
The framework has been substantially strengthened since the adoption of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, a milestone finalised at COP29 in Baku, which establishes binding rules for bilateral and multilateral carbon trading between nations. For Bangladesh, active engagement under Article 6 is not merely a technical matter; it is a critical dimension of climate diplomacy and a primary vehicle for attracting the international finance the country urgently needs.

Bangladesh's nationwide afforestation and mass tree plantation programmes form the backbone of its carbon strategy. Through social forestry, mangrove reforestation, and coastal greenbelt development, the country is steadily building a natural carbon sink of considerable scale. Trees absorb and store carbon dioxide over time. When these processes are scientifically measured, reported, and verified under internationally recognised Measurement, Reporting and Verification (MRV) protocols, the resulting emission reductions can be converted into tradeable credits. 



The adaptation benefits are equally compelling. Mangrove restoration acts as a natural buffer against cyclones, storm surges, and salinity intrusion. Upland reforestation stabilises watersheds and reduces erosion. Sustainable land management enhances biodiversity and ecosystem resilience, while carbon revenues are reinvested into the communities that sustain these landscapes. The same activities that protect people from climate impacts can generate the finance to sustain and scale those very protections.
Bangladesh has already moved beyond pilot stages. The evidence of tangible, scalable progress is growing across multiple sectors. Over 2.5 million Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) have been sold internationally under the gold standard, generating approximately USD 16 million, while simultaneously expanding clean energy access for millions of rural households. Verified under Verra's Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM) standard, this initiative is expected to reduce approximately 1.3 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent, with projected revenue of USD 14.5 million flowing directly to smallholder farming communities.

Then, agricultural residues including rice husk and maize waste are being converted into biochar, delivering permanent carbon removal with additional benefits for soil health and agricultural productivity. Rural biogas digesters are generating carbon credits while improving household air quality and creating local employment, a replicable model of integrated social and environmental return. Early-stage work, supported by Bangladesh Bank sustainability mandates, is mapping emission reduction pathways within the ready-made garments sector, one of the country's economic pillars, opening future opportunities for compliance and voluntary carbon crediting.

Collectively, these initiatives demonstrate Bangladesh's growing capacity to deliver carbon credits with credible environmental, social, and economic co-benefits, and the breadth of sectors, from forestry to energy to industry, that can contribute to a coherent national carbon portfolio.

Bangladesh does not need to build its carbon market architecture from scratch. Valuable lessons are available from countries that have walked this path before. Costa Rica has pioneered Payment for Ecosystem Services (PES) schemes that compensate rural communities for conserving and restoring forests, demonstrating how carbon finance can be channelled directly to land stewards. China developed its national carbon market in deliberate phases, gradually expanding sectoral coverage as institutional capacity matured — a model of sequenced ambition well suited to Bangladesh's context. The European Union operates the world's largest Emissions Trading System (ETS), underpinned by robust MRV, independent verification, and strong regulatory transparency, setting the global benchmark for market integrity. Canada, meanwhile, has successfully integrated forestry and agricultural carbon projects into a broader low-carbon strategy, balancing economic growth with environmental accountability.

Adapting these models, through nature-based solutions, strong institutional frameworks, meaningful community participation, and a phased approach to market integration can significantly accelerate Bangladesh's carbon market readiness. 

It is mentionable here that credibility in carbon markets is built on verifiable data. Without a functioning MRV infrastructure, Bangladesh cannot generate internationally recognised credits at scale. The World Bank's recent financing commitment of USD 2.4 billion-- partly directed at developing this framework--is an encouraging signal, but implementation must be accelerated. Then, building a cadre of qualified professionals in carbon project design, baseline setting, and verification is essential. Bangladesh's limited experience with the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) is a foundation, not a ceiling and it must be built upon urgently. Clear rules on authorisation, benefit-sharing, and the avoidance of double-counting are prerequisites for attracting credible international buyers and investors, and for compliance with Article 6 requirements. 
Carbon projects that displace communities or concentrate revenues at the institutional level will undermine both social trust and market credibility. The experiences of Kenya and Vietnam (both of which faced significant backlash for proceeding without adequate community consultation) offer a cautionary lesson Bangladesh must heed. Bangladesh must advocate, under Article 6 and across climate diplomacy forums, for rules that protect the interests of least-developed and climate-vulnerable countries.

The World Bank has estimated that Bangladesh could earn up to USD 1 billion annually from carbon markets if the right conditions are in place. That figure is not a fantasy. But it will actually depend on the quality of projects, the integrity of systems, and the speed and seriousness with which institutions act.
In short, a strategic, well-coordinated, and time-bound approach-- one that safeguards ecosystems, empowers communities, and meets international standards-- can position Bangladesh not merely as a participant in the global green economy, but as one of its emerging leaders. 

(Views expressed in the article are personal.)
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The writer is Additional Secretary, Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change, Government of Bangladesh

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